ometimes, your best deals are the ones you never do.
We celebrate deals closed but not disasters avoided. When the FBI stops an attack, it rarely makes headlines. When a pilot delays takeoff to fix a mechanical issue, passengers complain. No one cheers when your website stays online because an engineer found a bug before deploying. But behind every “nothing happened” is someone who made the right call early.
Real estate works the same way. Everyone loves a closing photo, but the best investors I know take quiet pride in the deals they walk away from. They tell me about how they constantly pass, and sometimes they sound disappointed, but these investors recognize that it only feels like they are missing out on money. Over the life of a deal, the value of a closing fee can be wiped out quickly.
At TractIQ, we see this all the time. An investor will look at an aggressively priced asset in an “undersaturated market,” but when they look closer, they see the red flags: negative YoY rent trends, lack of incoming housing developments, high crime, the two competitive sites breaking ground down the street, the geographic barriers blocking them from population centers. It just takes a quick insight discovered early to realize you’re spending time on the wrong deal.
It’s not glamorous. There’s no commission or celebratory post. But it’s the right call, and it builds trust.
Warren Buffett said, “Rule No. 1 is don’t lose money. Rule No. 2 is don’t forget rule No. 1.” Saying no today protects your dry powder and your reputation so you can do the great deal that you find tomorrow.
Before my days at TractIQ, I ended up in a few deals that I later realized should have been a pass. Those were painful because they don’t just come with financial loss, they come with years of stress, distraction, and pressure that I carried home every night.
In the moment, your investors might yell, “Swing, you bum!” like they’re in the cheap seats at a Mets game, but later they’ll thank you for waiting on your pitch.
We built TractIQ to help you move fast, but more importantly, to help you move smart. Sometimes that means doubling down, other times it means stepping back.
Good investors say how many deals they’d underwritten. Great ones can find meaningful lessons from the winners, from the dogs, and from the “almost dones.”
If you genuinely review the thinking behind the 100 opportunities you pass on, you can 100 times your learning opportunities. How much stronger would your decision making be with 100 times the learning?
There’s no trophy for avoiding a bad deal, but there is credibility. There is investor confidence, and there is the freedom to go all-in when the right pitch finally comes. Because sometimes, your best deals are the ones you never do.